Bit by bit we are seeing the pieces of the economic mosaic come together that could support a sustained stock market rally, at least in the short term ... But in the longer term, there are still significant questions, no doubt about it.
More Quotes from Phil Dow:
I think a productive economy is the main thing people should take home with them. This is a unique period in American history. I think we'll look back on it as a time you wanted to own stocks rather than trade stocks. I think, secondarily, corporate America is showing good earnings reports. The second half of this year may be lower than the second half of last year, but they're still robust, probably in the high teens. I think if you focus on financial guide posts, that eventually will drive prices. I think you'll see the market in general do better as the year wears on.Phil Dow
Overall, I think there's been a profound change in sentiment after the market hit its five-year low in early October, ... The market is factoring in a possible resolution of the Iraq crisis. With the Republican victories in the midterm elections, there's a possibility of a tax cut for dividends. That's like a tectonic shift in fundamentals.
Phil Dow
It's frightening if you chase performance. One reason why investors went into Japan is that they saw the markets perked up there.
Phil Dow
You've got to get back to what really moves stocks, and that's earnings. It's not international conflict -- that's always been there. And the market has delivered, despite Vietnam, Sept. 11, and every other horrific thing we've had.
Phil Dow
If you have any kind of cut or a neutral bias, the markets will move higher.
Phil Dow
I don't believe that the market is ready for serial rate increases. We'll just have to wait and see what is said, but my suspicion is, right on the heels of this meeting . . . it's probably going to be a tug of war.
Phil Dow
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