Richard Berner Quotes (19 Quotes)


    Ultimately, a weaker dollar will spur policy shifts abroad that will be good for global growth. Ultimately, that will help earnings as well.

    With the current account and the budget deficits now expanding together, market participants may pay more attention.

    Home prices will rust, not bust, for the next few years.

    I still see that companies went overboard in slashing their work force in an effort to cut costs and to eliminate the hiring excesses of the 1990s, ... I think we have a shortfall of about 1.8 million jobs to make up.

    The balance of risks now suggests that the Fed is not likely to move to the sidelines until the funds rate reaches that level,


    The US economy is currently in the midst of the most profound hiring shortfall of any modern-day business cycle.

    Investors on Wall Street are going to have to learn a lot about these new faces before they feel comfortable. I don't think this means any change in monetary policy but there are new people.

    I don't think home values will crash -- they will rust, not bust. Demographics have underpinned demand, courtesy of a wave of immigration in the past 16 years that reduced supply, and you don't see the speculative overhang that could contribute to a bust in home values.

    Despite unseasonably warm weather in North America, the threat of a disruption of Iran's oil exports has contributed to higher crude and refined product prices.

    Change is a constant of the U.S. employment picture. New technology keeps changing the nature of work and the nature jobs. I can't tell you what new technology will have spawned new jobs five years from now, but my guess is there will be one.

    The issue is does OPEC think the global economy is strong enough to withstand the change in price. It just so happens that the economies that are seeing the biggest price increases -- the United States and China -- are also the strongest.

    If we are right that both the pace of economic activity and corporate earnings are still fraught with near-term, downside risk, equity values and risk spreads will carry a recession uncertainty premium for some time -- a premium that the Fed will still want to counter.

    The unemployment rate in the first quarter should have been at least 6.3 percent -- significantly higher than January-February's 5.75-percent average,

    The key reason Dwindling economic slack and escalating costs in the context of strong U.S. and global growth.

    Fed policy makers made a statement that they want to really underpin the recovery. They've seen the downside risks and they want to make sure that low inflation and disinflation does not morph into deflation.

    The U.S. stock market is pricing in a hard landing, an acceleration of inflation and a Fed that may or may not come to the rescue. Part of that message is emanating from the bond market and part of it is coming from some thick smoke signals that the banks are sending.

    The underlying pace of the economy is strong. The fact that global growth is looking better will keep the economy strong through the balance of this year.

    The Fed truly wants to get inflation somewhat higher -- back into the comfort zone. Why not say where that comfort zone is

    Upside inflation risks may require that the Fed move promptly and perhaps a little more forcefully to ensure that inflation and inflation expectations stay low.


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