Neil Ferguson Quotes (7 Quotes)

Both cases we came up with were very pessimistic. There is no single magic bullet for stopping pandemic flu.

Around 40 million people died in 1918 Spanish flu outbreak, ... There are six times more people on the planet now so you could scale it up to around 200 million people probably.

This is the event we're all scared might happen at any time, ... We'd be faced with an event worse than the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic.

Every time a new person gets infected with the virus there is a small chance that person will trigger a pandemic. It's a very small chance, probably 1 in a 1000, 1 in 10,000 or less.

From the perspective of disease modeling, one thing we would like to understand better is the variability between people in their traveling.

Each measure can have a significant effect, but it can't contain spread on its own.

The modelling shows there is no single magic bullet which can control a flu pandemic, but that a combination of interventions could be highly effective at saving lives.