Chris Rupkey Quotes (18 Quotes)


    Manufacturing production in the entire country is running flat-out at the moment.

    Prices received rising so much is the first sign that businesses have increased power to pass on these energy-price increases. Energy will shortly be a major factor in the inflation equation, and this is what the Fed is worried about, so expect policy makers to keep pushing interest rates higher.

    This is consistent with the idea that slack resources have been taken up in the economy. There is considerable momentum and this is the sort of environment where inflation pressures can spill over and actually cause an increase in the rate of inflation, so it is a bit early for them (the Fed) to lay down their saber.

    They're not on the sidelines yet. The inflation pressures are immense at this stage of the business cycle.

    This budget number is way out there it was quite a shock.


    The markets were prepared for Greenspan to end his final meeting with the funds rate at neutral. What they got instead is the statement that rate hikes still 'may be needed.' This was not music to the market's ears.

    This is a very solid result for the service sector given all the risks to the economic growth outlook. The services sector is the heart of the economy where most of the new jobs are created, so a strong number bodes well for the outlook.

    The Fed is still going to be on guard in terms of monitoring inflationary pressures, but this has to be good news today.

    consumer spending has not been dented by the hurricane-inspired rise in gasoline prices and fears of higher home heating oil bills.

    The red ink was a one-month record in February, and the records are likely to continue to be broken this year. The spending side of the budget ledger remains out of control, despite some effort to constrain these expenditures.

    Business capital spending is coming on strong and the timing of these equipment purchases could not be better. Business spending will take up the slack as the housing slowdown cools consumers' appetites.

    We're back to expecting a rate cut on December 11. Meyer changed people's thinking by essentially saying there's no limit as to how low (the federal funds rate) could go and today we're getting an added boost from the (weak) stock trade.

    It may be just a matter of time before the public's inflation expectations start to rise. Commodity prices are soaring.

    The jobless claims number went up quite a bit, but the idea here is that because it stayed below 300,000 there's a good chance that the U.S. unemployment rate continues to fall.

    Expectations of Fed action have gone though the roof. The market is looking for two 25-basis-point moves and one 50-basis-point move before the presidential election.

    Stock losses are giving bonds some juice this morning we're back to feeling that the economy is weak and that bonds are a buy here.

    Growth isn't fast enough that the Fed has to brake the economy, and at the same time it isn't slow enough that the Fed can stop and watch. Inflation pressures can still gain a foothold as the economy continues to take up slack resources.

    The selling abated, prices stabilized and people decided the path of least resistance is up.


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