Inflation has picked up and there is some pricing power evident. Certainly by saying that, the Fed is telegraphing that they could easily increase rates by 50 basis points if they had to, even though at this point there doesn't seem to be a need for more than a quarter-point hike,
More Quotes from Oscar Gonzalez:
I would think the probability of a move (on interest rates) would be somewhere around the 40 percent range.Oscar Gonzalez
There is evidence that the weakening dollar also is beginning to have a positive effect. This is a good sign both for the future of our exports and for our hope to narrow the trade gap.
Oscar Gonzalez
All eyes will now shift to next week's employment report. The figures we've seen over the past few weeks suggest it will be quite weak. The report may be enough to push the Fed into giving the economy another shot in the arm at their next meeting.
Oscar Gonzalez
I think the Fed will act aggressively. The timing remains to be seen, but both Main Street and Wall Street are pleading for further rate cuts, so I think Greenspan will respond. The sooner and deeper a rate cut, the sooner consumer and business confidence should improve.
Oscar Gonzalez
The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.
Oscar Gonzalez
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