I do think the rise in oil is significant enough already that that's going to buy us headline inflation higher in the next few months. We'll probably get up toward 3 percent.
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It doesn't look like from what we are seeing this morning that the economy is recessionary, and now it's probably going to cast some doubt on how aggressive the Fed is going to want to be from here,Josh Stiles
We saw moderation in the indices on prices paid, employment, and six-month business conditions outlook. That offset the impact of the headline number.
Josh Stiles
He's been wrong about what's happening with inflation for two years. He's more focused on structural disinflation forces than he is on the cyclical inflationary forces from excessive accommodation,
Josh Stiles
There's concern for how the stock market has done recently. I do think bond traders have their eye on the stock market.
Josh Stiles
The bottom line is, agencies will maintain their highest credit rating. Agencies are looking like pretty good value.
Josh Stiles
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