This reminds us there are two sides of the rapid growth story.
More Quotes from John Lonski:
I would say they're (the Fed) going to take a bye this time around. That's because there ought to be a second consecutive weak retail sales report. We're going so far as to say retail sales are going to go down again after having dropped in April.John Lonski
The biggest threat to the bond market looking ahead 6-9 months is what becomes of overseas economies. Let us not forget that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times in 1998 because of the unexpected severity of overseas economic slumps.
John Lonski
It makes it more difficult to realize a recovery in the bond market, and one of the reason why we're getting a sell-off in the bond market, I believe, is because investors are more convinced that the world economic crisis is over.
John Lonski
The Fed will eventually move to a neutral stance, and I don't think we're there yet. When we start to see payrolls of 200,000 a month, I expect the yield on the 10-year note will hit 4.5 percent and the Fed will become less patient.
John Lonski
I don't think it's going to stop. It may be a fine opportunity to lock in a fixed rate that may prove to be relatively attractive historically.
John Lonski
If it turns out that a number of overseas economies mimic the very strong economy now being reported by Korea, we could be looking at a surprisingly steep upturn in Treasury bond yields later this year.
John Lonski
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