The evidence so far would suggest we're probably going to have a below-average employment gain in this recovery.
More Quotes from John Silvia:
An economy in neutral has started to move forward.John Silvia
I would say the consensus is that the Fed goes to a neutral position on inflation.
John Silvia
We are currently estimating first-quarter US real gross domestic product growth at 5.3 per cent and feel the risks are nearly uniformly stacked on the upside.
John Silvia
If they don't move to a neutral position, the bond market will react negatively. If the Fed sits there and reiterates the same risk on inflation, the bond market is going to look at this and say the Fed is way behind the curve.
John Silvia
I think it's just oil and optimism about the New Year. I think oil is the driving factor due to the warmer weather, but people are now looking for better than expected (fourth-quarter) earnings, better than expected retail sales number. There's a host of good numbers out there.
John Silvia
They see these older cities that others may have passed over or thought for dead as environments where they can really create their own living space.
John Silvia
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