William Gray Quotes (29 Quotes)

This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s.

We shouldn't try to blame humans for all of this.

In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,

There have been a heck of a lot of storms in the Caribbean in the last 11 years. You've dodged a bunch of them. In any one year the probability of a major storm striking the Virgin Islands is low, but you'll at least be watching more storms pass to the north and south of you than in the down period from 1970 to 1994.

We were very lucky in that eight-year period, and the luck just ran out. We always thought it would run out.

Regardless of whether a major hurricane makes landfall this year, it is inevitable that we will see hurricane-spawned destruction in coming years on a scale many, many times greater than we have in the past,

We do not expect to see as many land-falling major hurricanes in the United States as we have experienced in 2004 and 2005.

We actually think the probability of the East Coast being hit with storms is almost twice what the long term average is for this year.

All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,

We feel the 1999 season will be comparable to the one just past and not too much weaker than the 1995 and 1996 seasons, both of which were very busy. Climatic evidence strongly suggests that we are embarking on a new era of enhanced major hurricane activity.

Small sea-surface temperature changes, there's no theory why they should make for more storms. Observations verify that. When we look back in a global point of view, in the last thirty years, there hasn't been a pick up in storms.

We are going to see the return of some of these types of storms. People have to face up to it. The insurance industry has a major problem.

Even with the increased forecast numbers, this won't be one of the worst seasons of the century, ... but we are anticipating an active season not unlike several of the most recent years.

The people who have a bias in favor of the argument that humans are making the globe warmer will push any data that suggests humans are making hurricanes worse, but it just isn't so. These are natural cycles.

Won't happen to us. This leg's got more luck in it.

Without faith institutions, you can't have a community. Their history is the history of the community.

Emanuel is wrong, it's just wrong.

We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.

The rest of the globe that has 88 of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.

We have always believed that the atmosphere will act in the future as it has in the past. This assumption can fail in some years but when applied over a period of several years we find that the atmosphere and ocean does indeed have a long period memory in most years.

We've had a very active season, but the probability of getting landfall in consecutive years like in 2004 and 2005 is very low.

Unfortunately, we are continuing the bad news by predicting above-average activity for September and October.

This ocean circulation, a northbound current that sinks and then moves southbound, tends to go through multi-decadal changes,

There's no way we could have known this season would be that active. We did call it right. We did go above average last year.

There is nothing to suggest the weather patterns will change to stop this season from reaching near-record status,

In the past two years we've had two unlucky years. Globally, storms aren't getting worse, just in the Atlantic.

We feel our ongoing forecast research will allow us to continue to improve our predictive skill.

Even though the U. S. has experienced six major hurricane strikes since August 2004, in terms of the number of U. S. major hurricane strikes during the last 11 years (nine of 43, versus one of three for the century-long average) we have been, from this perspective, somewhat fortunate,

Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.