Sherry Cooper Quotes (69 Quotes)


    Recall the Fed's assessment following the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting on Aug. 24, that the dual summertime rate hikes 'should markedly diminish the risk of inflation going forward,' ... This call is looking more tenuous with every passing day.

    As time passes, excess capacity is being worked off and inventories are being accumulated once again ... and companies don't buy enhancements in technology or machinery until after they've seen a pickup in activity,

    The business community has actually been quite lax in taking this seriously.

    High energy prices keep on working their way through the system. The risks remain skewed to a mild up-creep in core inflation during the months ahead, which will keep the Fed on track for another rate hike in March and likely in May.

    The repercussions on global trade would be devastating, ... Given that virtually all major economies have a surplus with the (United States), trade disruptions would shutter manufacturing plants and curtail global demand for most commodities.


    The cooling U.S. housing sector should apply a dampener to consumer spending as 2005-2006 unfolds, but some of this could be offset by still-decent job growth.

    There has obviously been quite a bit of dissension as to the governmental policies, the slashing in fiscal expenditure, potential tax increases, as well as the astronomical increases in interest rates.

    The NAPM report provided strong support for the economic slowdown view, focused in basic manufacturing, and also clearly suggested the peak in core inflation is drawing near, ... This gives added weight to the possibility that the Fed will ease in the new year.

    If the incoming data remain relatively soft, including the inflation data, the Fed will take a pass in August, ... Even if they do raise rates, it may well be the end of the tightening cycle, which is very good news for the stock and bond markets.

    The key here is that we anticipate what the big issues will be and that we take actions today to prevent or at least mitigate the disruption.

    I do think, however, that it is very important that we, as individuals, protect ourselves that businesses make contingency plans and that governments at all levels public health officials everywhere do what is necessary to minimize the danger of a potential pandemic.

    There is no realistic sign of economic weakness on the horizon and wiggles on Wall Street are, evidently, not causing much anxiety on Main Street. The confidence surveys cast doubt on the slowdown view.

    It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.

    Clearly the new paradigm is alive and well, ... While (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan downplayed the policy significance of CPI in his remarks last night, it is still a major positive for investors that core inflation remains benign.

    We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.

    I'm not worried about inflation per se I'm worried about inflation in asset prices. When the Fed has been aggressively easy in the past, it's ended up having to come in and aggressively raise interest rates and cause a lot of unnecessary dislocation.

    While overall U.S. growth slowed, it by no means is flirting with a stall soft landing chances were increased by this news, ... Indeed, some may ask, 'what landing'

    Worry not, the longest expansion in American history still has legs.

    Further widening in the trade deficit in the months ahead is very likely given that the surge in oil prices will drive imports higher and that there has been no let-up in the domestic economy.


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