Donald Selkin Quotes (87 Quotes)


    With earnings winding down and not as much to focus on, you're getting very volatile reactions to economic numbers that are actually pretty close to estimates. You're also seeing some of the defensive names that are dependent on an economic recovery tradi

    This shows that investors are ready to take on more of a tolerance for risk.

    They projected higher for the first quarter, but they came in a little light on revenue for this quarter. Maybe people are worrying that they can't continue growing at these levels.

    I don't think it's going to have much impact on stocks either way -- they basically matched the earnings, but the sales were a little light, so it's kind of neutral.

    We're in good shape for now, but there's still going to be this anxiety, where people are looking over their shoulders, waiting to see what's coming next on the national level.


    The number today struck me as neutral. More stocks are up than down, and that's the ultimate test.

    I guess after all this selling you could see an oversold bounce next week, and some up days here and there in early February. What's concerning is that there doesn't seem to be anything to lift us on a more consistent basis.

    I think the markets will overlook the weak economic reports. Everyone knows numbers in February and March were terrible due to the snow storms and oil prices.

    They make electronic components for the original equipment manufacturers. In February, they bought the Motorola ( MOT ) division that makes parts for wireless cell phones. Well, it came down a little bit..made a new high, dropped a little bit, and is now on the way back up. They have the potential strong earnings growth.

    No one wants these old-time stocks. People realize the only way to make money is with these new-era (technology) stocks.

    This is the worst thing you want to see before major events. A huge rally that was really not based on anything substantial, ahead of two major events, is the market setting itself up for disappointment.


    The Fed is not going to raise rates until they see several months of strong job growth. And even if they do raise rates slightly, the rates will still be right near these historic lows. GDP this morning was not as strong as expected, but you had the other two economic reports that were good.

    Today is very news driven. You've got GE, you've got HPQ, and the economic reports were a little better. It's the tech stocks that are leading the way. You're seeing a rotation out of the consumer stocks and into the techs.

    Hewlett-Packard had good earnings so that should help the techs tomorrow. The other companies reporting tomorrow aren't usually market movers. Greenspan also speaks to Congress, which people will be looking at, but I don't think he'll say anything too surprising. So the hope is that HP earnings will take center stage.

    A slowdown in GDP could inject a note of caution in copper and the other metals. All of the metals are a down a little bit today.

    Markets are going to drift in this range ... until corporate profits and GDP (gross domestic product) start to improve.

    We did OK for the first half of the month and then faded out -- a lot of the economic data in the last few weeks have been a little discouraging. It's kind of a sour way to end a good quarter but not too bad for the month.

    The longer the war goes on, the longer confidence levels stay low and businesses and individuals don't spend.

    I think tomorrow (the Fed) will do nothing. But the talk now is that they might move toward a tightening bias.

    What's interesting is it's rare to break new highs in an industry that's pretty much bombed this year. Many stocks go sideways. This one is moving up.

    There's optimism about earnings, the fundamentals continue to look good and hiring seems to be picking up. The geopolitical situation is the only thing I can see that could be a real negative. Depending on what happens in Iraq, Bush's credibility could be in question.

    All things considered, we're doing OK here. Here we are in the seasonally worst time of the year, and we're hanging in there.

    I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.

    There's a lot of earnings for next week, but I don't see what's going to give us a lift. If the earnings have been good so far, and stocks have fallen anyway, what could the next wave of earnings do for us, even if they are positive

    Futures are down now because of the response to Microsoft and Amazon.com, but that could change in the morning, depending on what oil is doing then.

    We've had moon shots over the last few days, so this is natural. The market is digesting a lot of the gains it has made. The important thing is there is an asset allocation shift that has followed through from yesterday, with people getting out of bonds and into stocks.

    I think if they take out the language about inflation, as well as leave in the 'measured' (at future meetings), that will calm the market a bit.

    The silver lining on this is that it confirms that the Federal Reserve will not be raising interest rates anytime soon, which is good news for the market.

    So far, they have not made a negative pre- announcement on earnings. I don't think they will. You have a strong unit sales growth because of the lower priced personal computers, and I think that should propel the semiconductor and microprocessor stocks.

    We're trying to go the distance for a change, but we're basically hostage to these geopolitical events. We're not going to sustain anything consistently on the upside until we get a resolution to this thing.

    Some late talk was circulating that they would move their bias. We also saw the market rallying strongly into the decision and we sold off on the disappointment. I believe we're more on the way to a soft landing.

    We made a good recovery off the April lows, but now we may need to move sideways and consolidate. Maybe then that will set us up for the typical November through January advance.

    Between Texas Instruments, the rise in oil prices, and commodities, we got hit today. But the decline wasn't terrible. Last week we had nice gains, and today, we're kind of consolidating.

    There's nothing much next week in terms of earnings, and not really hugely influential economic news, but the bias is still pretty positive, and I think we're likely to grind higher.

    There's an internal conflict as Bush tries to satisfy two different constituencies. The public finds reassurance in government taking a harsher stance, but big business is a little conflicted in that it traditionally doesn't want government putting too many regulations on it.

    We're projecting technology earnings are going to grow almost 40 percent this quarter and that's on top of a very, very strong 1999. Energy company earnings obviously will grow close to 80 percent, but that's on top of a weak '99. So there are companies that should have leadership. After all, if you look at the companies that issue profit warnings last week Maytag, McDonald's, I mean I don't think the future of growth of American economy is washing machines or cheeseburgers.


    Related Authors


    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -


Page 2 of 2 1 2

Authors (by First Name)

A - B - C - D - E - F - G - H - I - J - K - L - M
N - O - P - Q - R - S - T - U - V - W - X - Y - Z

Other Inspiring Sections