I think we're in a situation where some earnings will miss (forecasts), but not as much as some bearish people expect, ... If this is the case, the SP 500 is likely to remain in the trading range it's been in.
More Quotes from Subodh Kumar:
The market is now factoring in that first-quarter earnings will likely be below consensus. And the reality is that economic growth is probably going to be between 3.5 percent and 4 percent, which is good but maybe not as strong as what some people were hoping for.Subodh Kumar
What they're looking at is the rate increases by the Fed, and probably the other central banks, should result in somewhat slower inflation pressures and slower consumer growth in the U.S., which markets would like to see.
Subodh Kumar
We expect better performance in the second half to follow a lackluster first half, with more uplifting assessment in the markets of issues like inflation, Fed policy, politics and earnings.
Subodh Kumar
In the very short term, you are seeing a response to the economic news, and that can give the market some buoyancy. Whereas in September and October, the above-consensus earnings enabled the market to perform better than it traditionally has, in November the focus switches to the economy.
Subodh Kumar
Usually, the groups under stress bounce the most at a bottom since they would benefit the most when the economy improves,
Subodh Kumar
With companies like GE we expect earnings to remain strong through next year, where the momentum with tech may begin to slow.
Subodh Kumar
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