Despite the loosening of the labor markets, income gains remain sufficient to support spending at a moderate pace.
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With a longer-term view, layoffs have accelerated, job creation has slowed, and joblessness has increased,Steven Wood
There is clear and strong evidence that the factory sector is expanding solidly,
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Although productivity is not likely to return to the supercharged pace of last year, it is likely to settle in comfortably above the 1.5 percent average pace during the 20 years before 1995,
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New and continuing claims are at levels that historically have been associated with payroll employment gains of around 225,000. Labor markets are gradually improving.
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This drop may be more due to temporary factors like wet weather than the beginning of a major reversal in housing.
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The gentle slowing trend that had been in place for much of 2005 appears to have been halted and partially reversed. However, like many other economic relationships, the one between the index of leading indicators and subsequent economic growth has loosened significantly in recent years.
Steven Wood
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