But what's more interesting is the U.S.-China deficit, especially with what's going on in Beijing just now. It's going to put a lot of pressure on the U.S. to get China to move (further on yuan flexibility), and to the extent that they don't, that's going to raise protectionist rhetoric in Congress, which I think is ultimately dollar-negative.
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It is going to put a lot of pressure on the US to get China to move further on yuan flexibility and to the extent that they don't, that's going to raise protectionist rhetoric in Congress.
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The foreign-exchange market is so big it would take a large number of Chinese all sending money abroad over a short period of time to have an effect.
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I think the European finance ministers had an opportunity on Monday to scare off bullish euro investors by threatening intervention or rate cuts to undo euro strength. They missed that opportunity.
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But as more and more people get the position on for the dollar to sell off, you are going to need some new news. I think we might be closer to the end of this move than the beginning.
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Based on Topics: Congress Quotes, Government QuotesBased on Keywords: dollar-negative, protectionist, us-china
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