Warm water alone doesn't mean a lot of activity. A lot of things have to happen for a tropical cyclone to develop.
More Quotes from Phil Klotzbach:
It is rare to have two consecutive years with such a strong simultaneous combination of high amounts of major hurricane activity together with especially favorable steering flow currents. The historical records and the laws of statistics indicate that the probability of seeing another two consecutive hurricane seasons like 2004-2005 is very low.Phil Klotzbach
Information obtained through the end of March continues to indicate that the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season will be much more active than the average 1950-2000 season.
Phil Klotzbach
Our probabilities this year are high above average.
Phil Klotzbach
About twice an average season. The Atlantic is still warm, although not as warm as last year.
Phil Klotzbach
Since 1995, it's been mostly active, and this year is a clear example of that.
Phil Klotzbach
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