I think we have a certain amount of climate change locked into the system. Even if we stop burning fossil fuel, the atmosphere and the ocean are going to take a while to respond. It's a very tough question for society. We're taking a gamble. We don't know all the global consequences.
More Quotes from Kerry Emanuel:
The large upward surge in hurricane damage in the US, is clearly owing to the confluence of rapidly increasing coastal population with a decadal time-scale upswing in Atlantic hurricane activity,Kerry Emanuel
The best way to put it is that storms are lasting longer at high intensity than they were 30 years ago.
Kerry Emanuel
We think we're seeing a signal that the intensity of hurricanes is going up owing to global warming, and their duration is increasing, as well. And this has us worried. In terms of the influence of this on the rest of the world, I think it can't be stressed enough that in the United States we have been enormously successful in reducing the loss of life. As horrible as Katrina has been - and it is horrible, sort of a worst-case scenario - so our problem is economic. That's our big problem. But in the rest of the world, in the developing world, the problem is loss of life.
Kerry Emanuel
The temperature of the tropic oceans is warmer than it's been in 150 years,
Kerry Emanuel
Unfortunately, in the issue of the frequency of storms, we're still kind of in the dark. We don't understand that issue very well.
Kerry Emanuel
We were criticized by the seasonal forecasters for not including the other environmental factors, like wind shear, in our analysis. We didn't do so because on time scales longer than 2-3 years, these do not seem to matter very much. This paper more or less proves this point.
Kerry Emanuel
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