If you examine the intensification of a single storm, or even the statistics on intensification for a particular season, factors like wind shear can play an important role. However, there is no global trend in wind shear or the other factors over the 35-year period.
More Quotes from Judith Curry:
This puts the argument to rest.Judith Curry
That may seem like a small number, but it makes a huge difference in ocean temperature and it has many consequences.
Judith Curry
There has been no overall increase in the number of tropical storms over the past three decades, but Category 4 and 5 hurricanes are making up a larger share of the total number of hurricanes, ... made up about 20 percent of all hurricanes in the 1970s, but over the last decade they account for about 35 percent of these storms.
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We were not expecting to get caught up in the global warming debate when we published our initial research last September. But the whole question of global warming is something that has to be confronted.
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Even with imperfect data and some uncertainty, it's hard to imagine what kind of errors might be in the data set to give you a long-term trend.
Judith Curry
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