It seems the New York and the Philly Fed index did a bit of a role reversal New York was very weak last month and bounced back this month, and there was the opposite pattern with Philly,
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On balance, the PPI report was positive, ... It doesn't show a further rise in inflation.
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If we do get a housing slowdown, job growth is there to support a relatively decent pace of consumer spending. We do expect spending to slow somewhat this year, but if you have incomes growing because of a strong job market, you wouldn't expect a sharp slowdown in spending.
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The Beige Book verifies what the data has already been saying - labor markets are tighter and wage pressures are intensifying.
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