You have to be positive on 10-year bonds when you expect lower inflation. I don't expect the Bank of Canada to raise rates at its next meeting because inflation is low and going lower.
More Quotes from Eric Girard:
A low inflation number is positive for bonds. It is possible that most of the tightening could be done.Eric Girard
There will have to be some major changes as time passes if the fiscal situation remains the same.
Eric Girard
The signal is that if we have good growth in 2006 but no inflation, there is no need to raise rates. I would even say, one more hike (this year), but not necessarily at the next announcement.
Eric Girard
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