The period of forecasted warm weather in the United States has been extended to the first four weeks of the new year. This has driven the price of all energy commodities down.
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The situation in Nigeria is likely to remain volatile for some time. Prices should rise because of disruptions in supply.Dariusz Kowalczyk
I'm surprised that we are at current levels, because the geopolitical uncertainties haven't changed much since oil was at about 68-69 in late January -- Iran is still carrying on with nuclear testing.
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Now that the weather forecast has changed to predict warmer weather, the prices have come down quite significantly.
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The big one-day drop on Wednesday was a reaction to the stronger-than-expected build in crude and product stocks, while demand remained weak.
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Slower growth in producer prices makes China's exports more competitive, which means the nominal exchange rate can be allowed to appreciate without hurting exporters.
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