It is now appropriate to talk of a major energy crisis after Hurricane Katrina pushed U.S. energy markets beyond the edge. The impact of Katrina has been to produce a significant discontinuity.
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It is worth noting that prices are getting little support from the physical markets despite relatively steady prices of late, which suggest that threat of further correction remains.Barclays Capital
U.S. payrolls are much more pivotal today than in prior months. A strong outcome would encourage the market in its increasingly optimistic view of the US economy and hawkish view of the Fed.
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Sooner or later the seriousness of the situation for U. S. product supply will begin to show in the weekly U. S. data releases, though it may still be too early for that today.
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In all, the disputes serve as further notice, if needed, that the Atlantic refining system is operating on the edge at the moment.
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The objective of the operation seems to be to create a few large-sized benchmark bonds and over time buy back the smaller issues.
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The current high levels of U.S. inventory is of little comfort given that it is the product of an unusually high level of seasonal maintenance. Although crude stocks are rising, product stocks are falling and U.S. oil demand is growing strongly.
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