The short answer is, I don't know. Nobody knows. The reason for that is, we don't have enough data on the particular exposures we need to measure to answer that question.
More Quotes from Andrew Lo:
Credit derivatives and hedge funds have grown fairly spectacularly over the last five years,Andrew Lo
Just because we didn't see an event (after GM and Ford) is small comfort. There are large exposures out there we haven't seen yet. I'd say the jury is still out on whether the industry can withstand the shocks that may come out over the next few months.
Andrew Lo
Finance and economic research has hit a wall. We can't answer any more questions by running another regression analysis. Now, we need to get inside the brain to understand why people make decisions.
Andrew Lo
At this point, there isn't an obvious place to park money, ... A number of strategies that produced good returns in the past are no longer profitable. A lot of the smart money is sitting on the sidelines right now just waiting for the direction to change.
Andrew Lo
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