Gerald Cohen Quotes (19 Quotes)


    No two periods are ever identical, and we don't expect cars to sprout fins, but we do think that there's a good chance that many of the favorable economic trends of the 1950s will re-emerge in the years immediately ahead.

    Business intelligence is not just about turning data into information, rather organizations need that data to impact how their business operates and responds to the changing marketplace.

    Unlike traditional application integration vendors and the pure-play BI players, Information Builders has a history of offering an integrated approach to business intelligence and is the only vendor to take an incremental approach to integration. As more and more enterprises are faced with linking critical business applications such as BI, CRM and ERP, the ability to leverage these existing investments will make for more effective application output fit for business use.

    A self-sustaining recovery depends on job growth. And I think we will get some going forward.

    We believe earnings momentum should turn strongly positive by the second quarter, but earnings gains in 2002 are unlikely to come close to reversing the collapse in 2001.


    The claims have not been low enough to merit cheering, but the direction has been generally positive, and that's the first step.

    My favorite indicator - my deserted island variable, meaning this is what I'd ask for if I were on a deserted island - is the Treasury yield curve. That's telling you we're expecting very strong growth over the next four quarters, albeit in the second half of next year.

    Inventory levels are lean, meaning companies will need to pick up production.

    These numbers give you pause. The ISM and the fact that jobless claims continue to rise suggest there continues to be job loss.

    We're talking about the difference between a little below and a little above, but the number is consistent with the view that we're going to see payrolls flat to lower in August.

    Business intelligence continues its proliferation across the enterprise and we have witnessed the evolution as BI has made its way out of the back office and onto the shop floor, the home office, and the sales field. For the past 30 years we have provided customers with cutting-edge technology and innovative strategies to support organizational success. The advent of portable business intelligence builds on our pioneering spirit and commitment to customer requirements.

    If stimulus that was passed when the economy was weak takes effect when the economy is on firmer footing, that could be more stimulus than we need.

    It's consistent with the view that things are not good now, but there's the potential for a pickup. The only question is what the magnitude of the pickup is going to be, and we're not as sanguine as Greenspan is about that.

    The Chicago PMI, along with other mixed data we've been getting, points, in my mind, to a turning point, ... But you have to be careful reading too much into this -- it's a survey of 200 firms in the Chicago area with a 50 percent response rate. I think we're at a turning point and will get a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is still in question.

    I think the Fed is on hold tomorrow and for the foreseeable future. We've actually been proponents of the view for quite a while that the economy was going to moderate, and it was important for the Fed to be patient. And one of the dangers was if the Fed kept raising rates, that they would slow the economy a lot more than they would want. So we think that there are enough signs of moderation that the Fed will remain on hold, and we think that signs of moderation will continue. So we think the Fed will be on hold through the end of this year and into early next year.

    The decline in inventory suggests that production will start to ramp up and should lead to a pick up in growth going forward.

    The core is up 0.3 percent over the last year, and so there really is no inflation, ... In the first year of recoveries, consumer price inflation tends to fall as it did in the past 40 years. We believe inflation should not be an issue for the foreseeable future.

    I don't think the confidence measures tell you that much about what the consumer is going to do. I always tell people to look at what consumers do and not what they say.

    What group often combines a keen sense of humor with bad taste ... College students.


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