Marc Pado Quotes (49 Quotes)


    We're not going to feel the impact of these rate hikes for quite some time.

    And the forward-looking statements that companies are likely to give will probably be restrained given all the negatives that companies see rising interest rates, rising mortgages, a lot of concern.

    There is very little economic news out this week, and nothing is due out today. All eyes are on the Fed.

    It's going to come down to how sales are pre-Christmas, what we hear from the retail sector, ... I would expect next week, while remaining positive, to have not as robust a move as we saw this week.

    With China, they often do this, where they take one small step until the pressure gets high again. It's unlikely that China is really going to move aggressively to slow their economy. It would take aggressive moves in order to make an impact on China's growth at this point.


    This morning stocks are looking to start the day slightly lower.

    The headline number probably isn't as important as the wages and average hours worked. Earnings are still the main driving force, and the jobs number is just a hurdle in our path.

    Net-net, there's probably plenty of oil in the market. OPEC left production quotas, so that's a plus for the market this morning.

    While the market was still moving higher, the internals leave much to be desired. The action is not negative, just not impressive, which leads me to believe that we are in an up-trending trading range.

    Today, we're keeping an eye on the same old catalysts, rates and crude. The drop in interest rates overshadowed a rise in crude Tuesday . However, crude is still well entrenched in its trading range, on a long-term basis.

    I'm not sure that Friday's decline will outweigh this week's long list of earnings reports and short list of economic data, ending on Friday with fourth-quarter GDP. Crude is making investors nervous, and by the end of the week, the FOMC meeting on the following Tuesday will also be a major cause for concern.

    Most everyone has rather positive expectations for double-digit (corporate earnings) growth for the first quarter. That is already 'baked in the cake'.

    Nobody likes to fail in the fourth quarter. There are going to be companies that did well in the holiday season and they will be able to add to gains.

    Obviously the Iranian thing is a wild card and nothing's going to get resolved in the short term, but the earnings are really what's key to the market and any longer-term perspective.

    Yesterday was perhaps as technically disappointing as last Friday.

    There was so much expectation built in for the stock ... I think that the expectations were about as high as they could get for it. I think it was a case of buy on the rumor and sell on the news.

    From now on, strong economic numbers threaten another rate hike. Weak numbers point to profit disappointments. What the bull market needs is a catalyst, which would likely need to be a break in energy and basic materials prices.

    Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.

    The 10-year has been trying to anticipate the fed funds rate. As soon as (Fed policy-makers) made it clear that they weren't going to stop at 4.75 percent, there was a big jump.

    In the last month the market moved up despite rising interest rates and despite higher oil prices, focusing instead on the upcoming earnings season.

    The negative productivity number we saw today about the fourth quarter raises fears that companies are not going to be able to absorb those costs.

    By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally.

    It is a domino effect of negative news.

    The market will be swimming upstream against a small current. We are still seeing a market rally that has not broken any key technical supports, but there are crack in the foundation. If they start to see selling on the news by the end of the day, that, too, is a warning sign that this rally is nearing an end.

    There is no question that the tone has turned more positive. We haven't broken out yet, but the markets are poised. Now all we need is for the news to hit the ball out of the park, and it needs to be perfect. Crude is still high and the yield curve is still flat, but the market's focus is on other things right now.

    Mergers are looking to help us hold our ground today.

    It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve.

    If you're going into the worst year of a four-year cycle and heading into one of the worst months statistically of the year, then it seems like a likely opportunity for the market to see its 10 percent correction.

    The market had been ignoring the recent run in crude, brushing it off as temporary emotional buying as a hedge against economic sanctions against Iran. Whatever the reason, oil is back up against all-time highs, and that was making the markets nervous.

    Internally, the market's bounce left something to be desired. Since the market went out on the high of the day, it should have some morning momentum left. The real question is whether or not it can be sustained without any major earnings-, economic-, or oil-moving news.

    Those very short-term support levels were broken yesterday, but the supports under the current levels are substantial. Now that the Fed has made it clear that we will see one if not two more rate hikes, the uncertainty has been removed. We expect the focus to shift to first-quarter earnings results, and they are expected to be good.

    It looks like some seasonal New Year's buying will give the market a bullish start, but this January faces many negative technical obstacles.

    The market is down as crude prices are up because of the approaching hurricane, which could hurt production, and then tomorrow's FOMC meeting is also going to be important, ... I think the Fed will do 25 basis points but then the commentary will be import

    These were reassuring statements by the Fed, ... I think what the market ultimately fears is inflation. What makes assets worth less in the long run is inflation. What the Fed is effectively saying is, 'We won't let prices get out of control.'

    The bulls had a real opportunity. Earnings continue to roll in, and for the most part they are in-line or better than expected.

    The good jobs report bought the bulls a reprieve, and now it is up to earnings to carry the torch. We're still heading right into the seasonally weak February and March months in a bearish midterm election year with rates rising and oil prices rallying. Januaries tend to start strong, but it is how they finish that matters.

    Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings.

    Tech might get a little direction from how people trade Cisco today.

    Adobe Systems issued an earnings warning that is a little light of expectations. The market has shown some true resilience, but the question is, how long can the rally last if technology stocks refuse to participate.

    Consolidation is a healthy development, especially in light of the pop in crude and the worsening inversion of the yield curve.

    We are facing a large number of Katrina-related warnings, ... The market is just coming to realize that it is going to be a tough September.

    Even though yesterday's rally may have faded, the leadership, internal action, and breadth were all reasons to anticipate further upside potential heading into the seasonal year-end pattern.

    Had it not been for the impressive January same-store sales reports, decent forward-looking statements and the big drop in energy prices, the market drop would have been far worse. With the understanding that we needed to keep our eyes on wage pressures and productivity, both of those components suddenly soured investors on the idea that the Fed was truly done.

    The futures are off to a slightly lower start after the Group of Seven industrial nations made a firmer call for China to accelerate the exchange rate of the yuan. The dollar got hit in response.

    The bulls have some work to do today.

    If you're down 10 percent and you time it appropriately, then you could be up 18 percent at the end of the year as opposed to 8 percent. That's why I'd look at whether the economic signals corroborate the technical signals.

    Every time investors think the Fed is going to be one-and-done, they rally the market 100 points. Yesterday was no exception. The potential for an additional 25 basis points in June faded from over 50 to about 28. That gave the market the added juice it needed to penetrate serious overhead supply.

    It will impact the Dow but on broader basis it won't do much to the market. I think there are much bigger factors today such as the semiconductor index above its 200-day moving average and it faces some cautious comments out of Merrill,

    While we would like to see a follow-through day, the positive implications from yesterday's rally should help reinforce a support under the market at Tuesday's intraday lows. Weakness in same-store retail sales and continued strength in crude will represent the first obstacles for the bulls today.


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